Publications
Why Polarisation Makes Inflation Harder to Beat
There is a deep, organic, and strategic nexus between polarisation and high inflation. Inflation is conventionally explained through monetary conditions, fiscal policy, exchange-rate movements...
When Rumours Become Reality: Ceuta and Europe’s Digital Border
The mass movement into Ceuta at the end of July 2026 was more than another episode of migration pressure on Europe’s southern borders. Its...
Türkiye in Focus
In this week’s Türkiye in Focus:
At the Malazgirt commemorations, President Erdoğan linked Türkiye’s domestic agenda to a broader vision for the region.
Israel continues its...
The Mecca Accord and Iran’s Strategic Dilemma
The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7 by Türkiye, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, marks a potentially consequential shift in the Middle East’s security landscape. Its premise is straightforward: an...
Alliance and Access in the Age of AI
In the age of artificial intelligence, being an ally does not necessarily mean being inside the gates. Pax Silica, the American-led technology coalition launched...
The Makkah Pact: When Security Meets Connectivity
The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed by Türkiye, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia in Makkah on 7 August, has emerged as one of the clearest...
The China Test for a Stronger NATO
At NATO’s Ankara summit in July, the numbers told a compelling story. European allies and Canada had increased core defence investment by more than...
A New Axis in the Eastern Mediterranean
Strategic Argument and Areas of Debate
The trilateral alignment between Greece, Israel, and Southern Cyprus illustrates a profound geopolitical paradox, where an alliance initially publicised as...
The New Politics of a Terror-Free Türkiye
Türkiye is approaching a potentially historic political transition. For decades, terrorism and the Kurdish question have shaped the country’s security agenda, party politics and...
Weekly Newsletter
Türkiye in Focus
14-18 September 2026 Edition Edition
This week we cover:
- Intelligence Officer’s Death Returns to the Spotlight
- Türkiye’s Steady Rise in PISA Results
- A Turbulent Day for Borsa İstanbul